Fox’s Hemmer Points Out Trump Also Led In 2020 — In States Biden Eventually Won: ‘Then The Margin Started to Close’

Fox News anchor and election number cruncher Bill Hemmer explained on Tuesday night that the initial leader in any given state on election night does not necessarily predict the eventual winner. Hemmer illustrated the point by showing how Georgia’s vote count went during the 2020 election, in which Donald Trump led Joe Biden early, but over time the margin narrowed and Biden ended up with a victory in the state.

Hemmer began by noting the vote count in Virginia, saying that Fairfax is the “number one populated county in all of the 133. There’s 40% of the vote that has not yet been tabulated into this OK.”

“Where was it for Biden? Go ahead,” asked Bret Baier.

“Yeah, I’ll show you. I’m sure we’ll see a lot of that. 40% outstanding is going to go for Harris. But we just don’t know how much in the most populated county. Okay. So go back four years. This is 2020. This is Joe Biden, 70%. So, Kamala Harris, she has time to make up for that, given the fact that that vote is still out,” Hemmer replied, before moving to Georgia, adding:

And I would say just looking at Georgia a moment ago, Fulton County looks to be somewhat similar. And the reason who is going to play in this to you? Okay. Fulton County is the most populated county in the state of Georgia. We’re getting a lot of Democratic votes from out there. All right. She’s up by 46 points. All right.

Pretty good margin by 202,000 raw votes. Okay. So four years ago with Joe Biden, he won the county with 242. His margin on a percentage basis was a bit higher by two points, 242,000 in a state four years ago. Sorry. Excuse me. I apologize. Let’s go statewide here in a state that was determined by 11,779. Let me go to my cheat sheet here, guys. All right. Going to do something that is a little ugly. But for the sake of the audience at home and for our knowledge too. This was George in 2020. Wow. Look at this again. We’ve taken a 24-hour period from four years ago. Blue is the Democratic vote.

Obviously, red is the Republican vote. And you see all this, you know, at 7:00, boy, it was all over the place. And then in the 8:00 hour, Trump easily took a lead there. And then the margin started to close overnight around 3 a.m., the lines moved and they moved and they moved for several days until finally we reached that margin of 12,000 votes separating Biden from Trump in the Peach State.

So just to come, the difference would be that that was the Covid election and that was a lot of mail-in votes. And that was not the same early vote for Republicans. Yeah, I would argue you’re right about that in Georgia. I think the important thing to keep in mind is how states report it. And Pennsylvania is a really good example here, where you’re going to get a heavy blue, some would argue, mirage in the beginning. And we’ll see whether or not that mirage is real throughout the night and maybe even into tomorrow.

“Bill, broadly speaking, there’ll be some exceptions to this. Does it appear to you that she is underperforming Biden nearly everywhere?” asked Brit Hume.
“It’s a great question, Brit. This is just anecdotal. I answered the best way I can. I’ve been poking around all over this map. I can find some good news for her by a point here, a point there. I can find a lot of good news for him point here and a point there,” Hemmer answered, adding:

But it seems where the areas where she is gaining the most is where the votes are and the areas where he’s getting the most is the area that he targeted, and that’s the rural area. Whether or not you can extrapolate that over a place like Hall County, 72%. Right? Banks County 89%. I know the problem for him is that that’s 94 out of 159. But I can move along the northern border of Georgia. And, you know, it’s just, yeah, it’s dominating 81.

“How does it compare to 2020?” pressed Hume.

“I’ll show you that next here. Just look at that. I mean, that’s it’s 86. Now, 2020, the same counties I’ll go in reverse are right. 84. Still impressive. Right. 81. And what it was it now 82 right now. So this is Fannin County. There’s about 14,000 votes in that county alone. 14,000. Okay. Now, if you take that extrapolate over 159 counties, you can certainly add up. So to answer your question, Brit, four years ago, Fannin County was 82 and this year is at 80. So 25% of the vote still out. So he’s got a chance to do a point or two better. But right now he’s not meeting the number that he hit in that rural county four years ago,” Hemmer answered.

Watch the clip above via Fox News.