CNN’s Harry Enten Makes The Case Kamala Harris’s Support May Be ‘Underestimated By Polls’

CNN data guru Harry Enten made the case Tuesday that current polling could be underestimating support for Vice President Kamala Harris a week before the election.

Wave after wave of surveys continue to show the race either neck and neck or with former President Donald Trump creating some separation  – at least nationally. Battleground state surveys continue to show the pair essentially tied in the states that will decide the election.

Seven days out from a third consecutive race in which much of the focus is on the so-called hidden Trump vote pollsters struggle to capture, Enten flipped a potential scenario on CNN News Central.

Host John Berman noted Trump had been “underestimated” previously and asked, “Any precedent for happening three times in a row?”

Enten said Harris could become the candidate that might shock election forecasters.

Eneten said, “Is there any precedent that the polls will underestimate Donald Trump once again? Because that’s all we hear about – Donald Trump’s going to outperform polls.” He continued:

I went back and checked out whether or not a party outran the polls. Three presidential election cycles in a row and the key battleground states. It’s never happened. It’s never happened. Zero times, zero times since 1972. So if the polls are going to underestimate Donald Trump once again, that would be historically unprecedented. Now, maybe you want to make the argument that Donald Trump himself is historically unprecedented.

But what normally happens is the pollsters catch on, hey, we’re underestimating. We’re not taking into account some part of the electorate. They make adjustments. And I think that helps to explain why we have never seen that the same party has been underestimated three times in a row in presidential elections, at least over the last 52 years.

Berman noted Enten had seen signs of a “polling miss” that “wouldn’t necessarily even benefit Trump as much this time.”

Enten concluded battleground state polls from the 2022 midterms underestimated Democrats by four points. He theorized if a similar phenomenon occurred next week, Harris would sweep the battleground states – winnig the election in a clean sweep.

“Maybe that’ll happen,” he said. “Maybe it’ll happen. But I think that there are folks who are undressing the underestimating the idea that maybe Kamala Harris will be underestimated by the polls, at least a week out.”

Watch above via CNN.